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  • Economic Predictions for 2010

    Posted on February 18th, 2010 No comments

    After a stellar recorded year for 2009, it’s time to make my predictions for 2010. The volatility we saw in the previous two years is going to dramatically slow down. Economic regulations will come into play and stability will come into the markets. We may see some volatility within the commodity and forex markets, but don’t expect the DOW and S&P to move all that much. Here are my predictions for 2010

    • S&P will be range bound, between 1025 and 1250. We definitely won’t past 1250. I believe our low will be 1050 precisely. If we fall below, buy buy buy!
    • Companies that profit and have cash will surge. Companies without the cash are going to get slaughtered. Expect a lot of volatility in the micro perspective of the stock market, but on the macro perspective the index will be range bound.
    • Blue chip companies like GE, POM will have a banner years.
    • I’m expecting Gold to continue towards $1500-$2000 this year.
    • The banking sector will strengthen in the later half of the year with companies like Bank of America leading the charge. I like Citigroup as well.

    Overall, this can be a great year for many of us as long as we stick to the right sectors at the right time. I wish everyone luck in their trading!

  • The Demise of the Dollar?

    Posted on October 6th, 2009 No comments
    The Falling Dollar

    The Falling Dollar

    Word has it that China, Russia, France, and Japan are working behind closed doors to take down the all mighty US dollar. The deal seems to be revolving around the energy sector and pushed heavily by the Arab corner. You probably guessed it by now, oil for the Euro. Or perhaps, oil for gold?

    This is speculation, but the recent demand in gold is quite unexplainable. Inflation is not rampant, retail gold sales are actually declinging, but gold price is rising? The only knowledgeable explanation is institutional buying or some kind of unkown demand. Gold can’t rise without demand, and people are having a tough time figuring out where that demand really is. The Independent in the UK has quickly jumped onto this bandwagon and has written a great article worth reading: http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/the-demise-of-the-dollar-1798175.html

    Now the big question is, will the US dollar fail? Personally I don’t believe so but with pressure from around the world as a united front, it certainly can. But it is also important to note that months before the US invaded Iraq, Saddam dropped the dollar for oil. Roughly 1 month ago, Iran has done the same and coincidentally criticism on Iran has climaxed. I’m not sure if I can say this is a coincidence, but its worth noting.

    On a personal note, I have been short on the USD/CAD since about 1.28 and have made a hefty profit on my currency trading (I use QuestradeFX for my currency trading). All in all, the US dollar is going to get a lot worse before it gets any better. Enjoy trading everyone!

  • The Market Creates a Buying Opportunity

    Posted on October 5th, 2009 No comments

    A new week has begun, earnings season is around the corner and the market has corrected the perfect amount. I see this as a perfect buying opportunity and I’ve been building positions in multiple stocks which I will outline below. First we must ask why this is the best opportunity to buy? No one can be 100% certain but I trust the technicals that I follow. I believe we have heavy support around 1000-1025 on the S&P and I don’t think our market can crack this point. If we do, all my bets are off and all my stops will be hit which is a minimal loss considering we are sitting at 1025 already.

    The stocks which I will be looking at most specifically are Citigroup (C) and General Electric (GE). I like Citigroup at $4.25-45 and I love General Electric at $15.00-50. I’ve taken my first positions late on friday afternoon and I anticipate by the end of October the returns will be substantial. We may see-saw till mid October, but once mid October catches a drift, Citigroup should propell to $6 and General Electric should be at $19. There is one factor that sits in the way and might play against my technicals, and that is earnings. Both companies earn by mid month but since forecasts are fairly conservative, it will be difficult to negatively impact these stocks.

    Lets wait and see. Enjoy trading everyone!